The Sedins Continue To Battle Father Time

There has seemingly been a lot of chatter floating around lately about how the NHL as a collective is getting younger. Whether it’s due to salary cap restraints or a changing game that generally demands more athleticism from its players than ever before, the fact of the matter is that teams are divvying up a larger portion of the pie to their more youthful assets.

We’re seeing that first-hand in Vancouver this season. While there’s room to quibble with how they’ve been used on occasion by the coaching staff, there’s no denying that the Canucks are embracing the league-wide youth movement with the quartet of players 22-or-under playing important roles for them early on.

Even with these philosophical adaptations by the organization, though, for the Vancouver Canucks everything still begins and ends with the Sedins. The more things change, the more they stay the same.

Willie Desjardins has done a better job recently of balancing out his deployments and taking his foot off of the gas pedal, but the burden both Henrik and Daniel Sedin continue to shoulder at this point of their careers remains extraordinary. It’s not all that common to see players in their 15th campaign and age-35 season pace their team’s forward group in usage like they’re currently doing (particularly at even-strength).

Here’s the full list of players that have logged greater than 14 five-on-five minutes per game and dressed for at least 75% of their team’s games that year while being 35 years of age or older. The following numbers were pulled from War on Ice and go all the way back to the ’05-’06 campaign.

Player Season 5v5 TOI
Martin St.Louis 11-12 17.26
Martin St.Louis 12-13 16.41
Martin St.Louis 13-14 15.18
Martin St.Louis 10-11 15.11
Shane Doan 13-14 15.01
Jaromir Jagr 07-08 15.01
Jaromir Jagr 13-14 14.97
Jarome Iginla 13-14 14.74
Pavel Datsyuk 14-15 14.67
Shane Doan 14-15 14.67
Jaromir Jagr 12-13 14.34
Jarome Iginla 14-15 14.31
Shane Doan 12-13 14.3
Dainius Zubrus 13-14 14.29
Jarome Iginla 12-13 14.24
Mats Sundin 07-08 14.08
Ray Whitney 09-10 14

Martin St.Louis is just an absolute freak and we quite frankly may never see a player like him come through the league again. But beyond that, as things currently stand both Henrik (14.0) and Daniel Sedin (14.1) would make the cut this season health permitting.

As impressive as their shared durability and raw workload continues to be, the important distinction here is that their actual output during that time hasn’t really fallen off. The video game point totals from those ’09-’11 glory days are gone and they’re not coming back, but in reality no one is actually reaching those sorts of figures anymore. Just last season, only 8 players reached the point-per-game plateau and only 17 players hit 70+ points. Expectations for this new incarnation of the NHL need to be adjusted accordingly for those arriving late to the party.

Since those respective Art Ross campaigns where everything about their numbers was inflated, they’ve settled into a nice middle ground. It’s nothing spectacular, but when put into perspective it’s what you’d hope to get from your top line. Aside from that throwaway Tortorella season they’ve been hovering around that 2 points per 60 threshold you’d like to see for 1st line caliber players:

Screen Shot 2015-11-11 at 11.32.37 AM

The one giant elephant in the room has been and continues to be Daniel Sedin’s rapidly evaporating effectiveness as a finisher, which is attributable to some combination of the natural decline we expect to see from shooters and the after-effects of Duncan Keith attempting to decapitate him. This is now his 4th season of a noticeably below average conversion rate after years of being boasting a shooting percentage comfortably in the double digits. While the league average for forwards has settled in somewhere around 10.4-10.5% it looks like Daniel’s new baseline is around 9%. That’s a difference of roughly 4 goals a season given his level of shot generation. Its gotten to the point where he has needed to experiment on occasion with creative new ways of getting the puck past the opposing goalie.

That’s just the nature of the beast with aging offensive players. Fortunately for both them and the Canucks, even when the offence hasn’t necessarily been there they’ve still maintained their stature as territorial monsters. Despite not benefitting from the absurd zone start totals which they once did for a while now, they’ve managed to continue to consistently drive play and tilt the territorial battle in their team’s favour. This season they’ve been doing everything in their power to drag what can only be described as a middling possession team – currently sitting at a 49.7% Score-Adjusted Corsi – along for the ride with their respective 54.88 and 53.74 percent possession rates.

There will be nights where the battle will be more uphill than it used to be for them a few years ago. They might not be able to rear back and throw their fastball like they used to during their peak. In totality though, they endure as not only their team’s most productive players but legitimate NHL first-liners as well by any objective measure. It’s impossible to say just how much left they have in the tank, but at this point I’ve learned to stop betting against them.

After all, there are only so many times we can all incorrectly wonder whether they’re in a different phase of their career before we just take a step back and marvel at their sustained excellence. They’ve only been doing it over for a decade now.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s